Why the election is much closer than we are being told

Take it for what you will, but I guarantee you the election is going to be much closer than we are being led to believe by the media.

Reason 1)
I live in a highly liberal neighborhood in a city that is typically liberal in it's voting patterns. Over the past 3-4 months, I have continually been summoned to the door by pollsters and the Obama feet on the street.

Here's how the typical conversation goes:

Them: Can I bother you for a few minutes for a political poll
Me: Sure
Them: OK. Great! Are you Married?
Me: Yes
Them: Are you a registered Democrat?
Me: No
Them: Ok.
(now the majority of them leave at this point saying, thanks that's all we need, if not they will continue slightly)
Them: Have you decided on a candidate? If so, is it Obama?
Me: Yes and no, I'm not voting for Obama.
(at this point the majority of pollsters that got to this point left without any other questions, save one that is my neighbor who actually started to ask about the other major races, governor and senate)

The point of this is that the majority of these polls are only looking for information that helps portray their message. When they find information that goes against what they are wanting to prove, they merely ignore it.

2) Sadly, I truly believe that race is going to be much more in play in this election than people will admit. It is the cool thing these days to say that you support Obama, but there in the booth, where no one is looking and no one will ever be able to know, they won't cast a vote for a black man. To clarify, I don't think this is a valid reason to base your vote, I really do believe that it will effect the voting pattern of America.

I will say that the polls that are placed on children is a more precise scope of how people will vote. The poll ran by Nickelodeon puts the race at a dead heat.

I believe these kid polls are more effective based on the fact that the majority of children really don't know nor pay attention to politics, they only know what they hear in their homes by their parents. Based on the fact that most kids look up to their parents, when they cast their mock election vote, they cast the vote like their parents will.

All of this is just to say, it's really an election where every vote is going to be important. So don't forget to vote.